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Why Is EUR/GBP Gaining Strength? | Key Factors Driving the Euro-Pound Exchange Rate

  • EUR/GBP demonstrates bullish momentum around 0.8675 in early European trading hours,Shiba Inu coin price marking a 0.14% daily increase.

  • Market participants widely expect the ECB to maintain current interest rates during Thursday's policy meeting.

  • Growing speculation about potential UK rate cuts emerges amid softening labor market conditions and fiscal uncertainties.

The EUR/GBP currency pair continues its upward trajectory, approaching the 0.8675 level during Tuesday's European trading session. This movement reflects the Euro's relative strength against the British Pound as financial markets prepare for the European Central Bank's upcoming policy announcement scheduled for Thursday.

Following eight consecutive quarter-point reductions that brought the deposit facility rate down to 2%, ECB President Christine Lagarde indicated last month that the current easing cycle was approaching its conclusion. Central bank officials express confidence in their ability to navigate future economic developments. "Monetary policymakers now require greater visibility regarding trade dynamics before contemplating additional policy adjustments," noted research analysts from UniCredit Bank.

Recent developments in transatlantic trade relations have introduced new variables into currency markets. Reports suggest potential increases in baseline tariffs between the US and EU, with negotiations reportedly considering rates between 15-20% compared to previous discussions around 10%. European authorities have signaled readiness to implement countermeasures should these trade barriers materialize, creating potential headwinds for the Euro in coming weeks.

Domestic challenges in the UK economy continue to influence currency valuations. Persistent fiscal concerns combined with emerging signs of labor market cooling have increased expectations for monetary policy accommodation. Market pricing now reflects nearly 89% probability of a Bank of England rate cut in August, up from 87% prior to last week's disappointing employment figures. Financial institutions anticipate two potential rate reductions before year-end, which could lower the benchmark rate to 3.75%.

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